Skip to main navigation menu Skip to main content Skip to site footer

OʻZBEKISTONDA AYOLLAR IQTISODIY FAOLLIGINI OSHIRISH OMILLARI VA ISTIQBOLLARI

Abstract

Mazkur maqolada Oʻzbekiston Respublikasidagi ayollarning iqtisodiy faolligini
belgilovchi omillar ekonometrik modellashtirish va 2025-2030 yillariga oid prognoz
asosida tahlil qilingan. Tadqiqotda 17 ta mustaqil omil tahlilga jalb etilgan va Pirson
korrelyatsiya, variatsiya inflyatsiya omili (VIF) hamda “Best Subset Selection” usullari
yordamida optimal model spetsifikatsiyasi aniqlangan. Asosiy modelda ayollarning
oʻrtacha yoshi, oliy taʼlim tashkilotlari soni oʻzgaruvchilaridan foydalanilgan.
Kombinatsiyalashgan prognozga asosida 2030-yilda iqtisodiy faol ayollar soni taqdim
etilgan. Tadqiqot yakunida davlat siyosatini takomillashtirish boʻyicha beshta
yoʻnalishda amaliy tavsiyalar ishlab chiqilgan. 

Keywords

ayollar iqtisodiy faolligi, koʻp omilli regressiya, multikollinearlik, dummy oʻzgaruvchi, prognoz, robastlik tahlili, demografik dividend, mehnat bozori.


References

  1. 1. International Labour Organization. World Employment and Social Outlook:
  2. Trends 2024. - Geneva: ILO, 2024. - 96 p.
  3. 2. World Bank. Women, Business and the Law 2024. - Washington, DC: World
  4. Bank Group, 2024. - https://doi.org/10.1596/978-1-4648-2031-1
  5. 3. Mincer J. Labor Force Participation of Married Women: A Study of Labor
  6. Supply // Aspects of Labor Economics / Ed. H.G.Lewis. - Princeton: National Bureau of Economic Research, Princeton University Press, 1962. - P. 63-105. -
  7. https://www.nber.org/chapters/c0603
  8. 4. Becker G.S. A Theory of the Allocation of Time // The Economic Journal. -
  9. 1965. - Vol. 75, No. 299. - P. 493-517. - https://doi.org/10.2307/2228949
  10. 5. Goldin C. The U-Shaped Female Labor Force Function in Economic
  11. Development and Economic History // Investment in Womenʼs Human Capital and Economic Development / Ed. T.P.Schultz. - Chicago: University of Chicago Press,1995. - P. 61-90.
  12. 6. Cascio E.U. Maternal Labor Supply and the Introduction of Kindergartens into
  13. American Public Schools // Journal of Human Resources. - 2009. - Vol. 44, No. 1. - P.140-170. - https://doi.org/10.3368/jhr.44.1.140
  14. 7. Berlinski S., Galiani S. The Effect of a Large Expansion of Pre-Primary School
  15. Facilities on Preschool Attendance and Maternal Employment // Labour Economics. -2007. - Vol. 14, No. 3. - P. 665-680. - https://doi.org/10.1016/j.labeco.2007.01.003
  16. 8. Lundberg S. The Added Worker Effect // Journal of Labor Economics. - 1985.
  17. - Vol. 3, No. 1. - P. 11-37. - https://doi.org/10.1086/298069
  18. 9. Holt C.C. Forecasting Seasonals and Trends by Exponentially Weighted
  19. Moving Averages // International Journal of Forecasting. - 2004. - Vol. 20, No. 1. - P.5-10. - https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijforecast.2003.09.015
  20. 10. Bates J.M., Granger C.W.J. The Combination of Forecasts // Operational
  21. Research Quarterly. - 1969. - Vol. 20, No. 4. - P. 451-468. -
  22. https://doi.org/10.2307/3008764

Downloads

Download data is not yet available.