QASHQADARYO VILOYATIDA INVESTITSION OMILLAR PROGNOZI ASOSIDA KAMBAG‘ALLIKNI QISQARTIRISHNING TABAQALASHTIRILGAN BOSHQARUV MEXANIZMI
Abstract
The article links the 2026-2030 forecast of investment factors in Kashkadarya with poverty-reduction management. ARIMA, information criteria, residual diagnostics and forecast intervals are applied. Prudent, baseline and activated scenarios and RI-HINI-based territorial management directions are developed. The scientific and practical contribution is the integration of forecasting, territorial typology and feedback monitoring into a single adaptive management mechanism.Keywords
investment forecast, ARIMA, poverty, RI-HINI, territorial typology, scenario analysis, differentiated management
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