AGRAR SEKTORNING HUDUDIY RIVOJLANISH TENDENSIYALARI VA SAMARADORLIGINI BAHOLASH: IXTISOSLASHUV, RESURS UNUMDORLIGI VA YAQINLASHUV
Affiliation
Mehnat va ijtimoiy munosabatlar akademiyasi
Abstract
The paper evaluates regional development trends of Uzbekistanʼs agrarian sector using a specialisation coefficient, land productivity, water productivity and a composite regional efficiency index. Calculations for 13 regions over 2010–2024 reveal a 5.6fold gap in land productivity and an 8-fold gap in water productivity, with no sigmaor beta-convergence. Regions are classified into intensive, extensive and resourceconstrained types; narrowing productivity gaps offers a 10 % output reserve without expanding irrigated land. The regional efficiency index is built as an entropy-weighted geometric mean of land productivity, water productivity, real crop output growth and the share of the commercial sector. Namangan, Fergana and Samarkand lead the ranking, while Kashkadarya, Navoi and Karakalpakstan rank last; the index is strongly and negatively associated with water scarcity. Separate regulatory instruments are proposed for each regional type.Keywords
agrarian sector, regional efficiency, specialisation coefficient, land productivity, water productivity, convergence, regional typology
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